Investing with the Trend: A Rules-based Approach to Money Management

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Book : Investing with the Trend: A Rules-based Approach to Money Management

Investing with the Trend provides an abundance ofevidence for adapting a rules-based approach to investing byoffering something most avoid, and that is to answer the“why” one would do it this way.  It explains theneed to try to participate in the good markets and avoid the badmarkets, with cash being considered an asset class.  The bookis in three primary sections and tries to leave no stone unturnedin offering almost 40 years of experience in the markets.

Part I – The focus is on much of the misinformation inmodern finance, the inappropriate use of Gaussian statistics, thefaulty assumptions with Modern Portfolio Theory, and a host ofother examples.  The author attempts to explain each and offerjustification for his often strong opinions.

Part II – After a lead chapter on the merits of technicalanalysis, the author offers detailed research into trend analysis,showing how to identify if a market is trending or not and how tomeasure it.  Further research involves the concept ofDrawdown, which the author adamantly states is a better measure ofinvestor risk than the oft used and terribly wrong use ofvolatility as determined by standard deviation.

Part III – This is where he puts it all together and shows the reader all of the steps and details on how to create arules based trend following investment strategy.  A solid disciplined strategy consists of three parts, a measure of what the market is actually doing, a set of rules and guidelines to tell you how to invest based upon that measurement, and the discipline to follow the strategy

From the Inside Flap

In this must-have resource, author GregoryMorris—Chairman of the Investment Committee for Stadi on MoneyManagement—draws on his years of experience to offer a processfor analyzing the present state of the marketplace in order tomaximize investment possibilities. Throughout the book, Morrispresents compelling evidence that debunks commonly held investingmyths that typically hold investors back. Filled with practicalexamples, and based on solid research and data, Investing with the Trend explains why all too often well-accepted theories on finance, economics, and the market in general can keep investors from reaching their investing goals.

Morris’s approach, which he skillfully implemented while Stadion’s Chief Technical Analyst, is designed to help investors capture most of the market’s good times while avoiding the bad. To get started with the process, Morris outlines four essential indicator types and defines the most common investing terms. In clear language, he describes this rules-based technical approach to investing that consistently outperforms market averages.

Engaging and informative, Investing with the Trend offers an insider’s view of how to evaluate the market through a variety of technical indicators. As Morris explains, each indicator is assigned a weight based on its history as a driver of returns. Tomaximize investment potential, Morris advises that investors adjust their portfolio exposure from cash and fully invest in response to the aggregate value of the indicators. This method has consistently provided better returns than a buy-and-hold approach and with out taking on extra risk. In contrast with modern investment theory ,which equates risk with volatility, Morris equates risk with portfolio drawdown—a distinction that is the foundation of his entire investing approach.

As the title implies, this important book reveals that markets tend toward trendiness and that technical analysis, when properly used, can measure the trend of the market at any point in time.Sure to be any investor’s key to financial success and backed by the author’s investment performance, Investing with theTrend provides an innovative way to use technical analysis to minimize risk and outperform market averages.

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